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No Election Day storm: Caribbean disturbance not a threat to U.S. mainland | Tracking the Tropics

TAMPA, Fla. (WFLA) — A tropical depression could develop over the southeastern Caribbean Sea in the next few days, according to the National Hurricane Center, but it’s not expected to impact the mainland U.S.

A tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend as the disturbance moves northward toward the central Caribbean Sea.


This disturbance has been the subject of recent social media chatter, with some wondering if it could impact the mainland U.S. around Election Day. It is not expected to move into the Gulf or toward the Atlantic coast.

“We are still watching the Central Caribbean for possible tropical development in the first week of November. It is too early to say where this will go or even if it will develop yet,” Max Defender 8 Meteorologist Amanda Holly said. “However, November systems typically stay east of Florida and in the Atlantic and most models show this happening. The confidence will be low though until a system actually develops. Hurricane season runs through the end of November, so this is normal for this time of year.”

Its chance of development in the next seven days is 40%.