This morning was the second day in a row when we had a few showers suddenly pop up in the region. Luckily the showers this morning were light and scattered.
The showers developed around 4:30am, and lasted until around 7am. There wasn’t any big weather systems around. It was likely from a weak upper level disturbance. In the big picture there is an area of low pressure over the northeast states that is moving farther to the northeast. There is high pressure just to our southeast. There is another area of low pressure over the Midwest.
The Midwest low won’t come through here, but the warm front that is attached to it will skim our region. After the morning clouds we’ll have some clearing for a time. We’ll be partly cloudy for most of the day. There will be a few pop-up showers and storms during the afternoon, but they should be pretty hit-or-miss. There may be a sizable cluster of showers and storms later this evening.
If the storms hold together then a couple of strong storms will be possible.
As far as the wind today goes, we’ll have a steady south wind at 8-12mph. That should stop any sea breezes from happening. High temps will rise to near 90 degrees.
The heat index will be in the mid 90s. This is pretty average for this time of year. However, tomorrow the heat and humidity will build up some more. High temps will rise to the low-mid 90s. The heat index will be near or over 100 degrees.
We’ll be mostly sunny Wednesday. There will only be some isolated showers or storms in the area. The heat and humidity will rise even more on Thursday and Friday. High temps will aim for the mid 90s. The heat index could be up to 105 or even higher.
The humidity will become tropical. It will be nothing like the dry weather that we had last weekend. There will be a few scattered showers and storms possible each day. The moisture will probably increase even more Friday into Saturday. At that point it will probably feel like a sauna. High temps will stay in the 90s, but they may drop slightly due to higher cloud cover and higher rain chances.
Another thing that we are tracking is smoke. Large wildfires over the western U.S. and Canada are producing some thick smoke. It is impacting a large swath of the United States.
This smoke is travelling far. It is reaching as far east as Kentucky today. We should be fine here in our region. However, tomorrow the smoke will be thicker over the Great Lakes and Mid-Atlantic region.
This will probably stay elevated, and that would create a haze overhead. However, if it gets thick enough tomorrow then some of it could make it down to the surface. Our air quality is fine today, but we’ll see if it gets worse tomorrow.
In the tropics we are still tracking that weak tropical disturbance over the central Atlantic. It is moving steadily to the west/northwest. It’s doubtful that it will form into anything in the short-term, but it has a medium chance of formation in a few days.
It has had some Saharan dust to its east and west. So that may have limited its development so far. However, it has been riding along a pocket of lower dust.
It is definitely over warm water, but there is some light wind shear in its path.
Unfortunately, this feature could get close to the U.S. southeast coast in a few days, and it could strengthen. Especially, if you follow the European model. Whatever, it does we’ll bring you updates.
Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler