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Blog: Comfortable weather is here. Tracking Kirk and Leslie

We had some pretty nice weather yesterday. It was dry and mild with a good amount of sunshine. This was the beginning of a stretch of comfortable weather. Today we have high pressure building into the region. There is a cold front over the Midwest.

Regional Weather Map

We’ll be partly cloudy today with a little extra clouds coming in during the late afternoon and early evening. It should be a nice day regardless, and no rain is expected. High temps will be in the upper 70s. There will be a couple of 80s inland.


Forecast Temps Today

The heat is building over the central U.S. again as they will be hitting a lot of 80s and 90s there. However, they are still going to be very hot out over parts of the southwest with triple digit heat continuing.

Our dew points are near 60 with even a few upper 50s. So the humidity levels should be comfortable today. We’ll have a light east wind, and that will let our high tides return to more normal levels.

Tomorrow a cool front will slowly slide through the area. We’ll have a mix of sun and clouds with some isolated rain showers. Any showers should be light and again…Isolated. So they should have minimal impacts on any local football games. High temps will be in the upper 70s.

Forecast Temps Tomorrow

We’ll develop a north breeze at 8-12mph.

The humidity will dip again a bit on Sunday, but temps will remain about the same. Highs will be in the upper 70s. A stronger cold front will move through between Monday and Tuesday of next week. High temps will be near 80 on Monday. Then we’ll be closer to 70 degrees on Tuesday.

Temperature Trend

The humidity will drop a lot more by that time as well.

Muggy Meter

We’ll have some awesome weather for the first half of next week. I can’t wait to start getting back to lows in the 50s. It’s pumpkin patch season afterall… Not beach season. Though there may be some good surf coming soon. This would be from hurricane Kirk.

Right now Kirk is a powerful hurricane out over the middle of the Atlantic.

Kirk (Enhanced Satellite)

The hurricane had sustained winds of 145mph this morning. It is on a northwest track, and it should move to the north and then northeast over the next few days.

Track Of Kirk

This will keep it out to sea, and even well east of Bermuda.

However, the waves will travel away from the storm. Tomorrow we’ll have waves to about 3 feet in Virginia Beach and 4-5 feet over the Outer Banks. This is more from the offshore low that is moving farther out to sea, than from Kirk. However, waves from Kirk will start to arrive on Sunday.

Wave Forecast Sunday

I think they will be even bigger on Monday. There may be some 6-7 footers over the Outer Banks.

Wave Forecast Monday

This could be some great surf for surfers. Especially on Monday. However, it will be bad news for anyone that wants to swim. There will likely be a high threat for rip currents tomorrow through Monday. At least we are out of the main beach season.

Tropical storm Leslie is gaining strength over the eastern Atlantic. It is on a northwest track. It should track close to Kirk’s path in a few day, but it may go a little west of that path. It will probably stay east of Bermuda, but it may get closer than Kirk.

Tracks Of Kirk And Leslie

We are still tracking the cluster of showers and storms over the Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical Basin

This cluster of showers and storms is forecast to grow in size. It looks like a large (but weak) area of low pressure will form over the Gulf this weekend. This is good news in that there shouldn’t be much wind down there. However, there may be some heavy rain.

GFS Model Sunday

The rain may fall for a while over Florida, and it may be heavy at times. Our model is forecasting about 8-10 inches in some areas over the sunshine state.

Rainfall Forecast

This could affect cleanup efforts around Tampa and possibly some locations north of Tampa. Stay tuned for updates.

One piece of world news… The weird weather patterns are starting to affect some climate regions. One recent example of this is a recent greening of a section of the Sahara Desert. A large amount of rain fell over parts of the Sahara, and allowed a large amount of vegetation to grow. According to the article it may be due to climate change and the changing position of the ITCZ. It will be interesting to see if this is a short-term change or something that will last for years.

Meteorologist: Jeremy Wheeler